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Alternative Premier League table after 22 games, based on expected goals

Liverpool got back to winning ways on Saturday as they put themselves seven points clear of Manchester City, who play on Monday night – live on talkSPORT.

Tottenham Hotspur’s defeat to Manchester United means they now sit nine points behind the Premier League leaders and just one ahead of Chelsea, who sit fourth after struggling to a win over Newcastle United.

Liverpool players celebrate Mohamed Salah’s goal against Brighton

At the opposite end of the table, a draw with Cardiff City sees Huddersfield remain stuck to the bottom of the standings but it does draw them closer to Fulham, who lost to Burnley despite not conceding a shot on target, thanks to two own goals.

Meanwhile, Southampton grabbed a vital win to boost their survival hopes under Ralph Hasenhuttl.

But how has the weekend’s action changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals?


Here at talkSPORT.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.

Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Newcastle United – Real position = 18

Real points = 18 | Expected points = 18.23

It’s been a tough season for Benitez and Newcastle so far

19. Huddersfield Town – Real position = 20 

Real points = 11 | Expected points = 18.30

18. Fulham – Real position = 19

Real points = 14 | Expected points = 20.34

17. Burnley – Real position = 15

Real points = 21 | Expected points = 20.75

16. Brighton and Hove Albion – Real position = 13

Real points = 26 | Expected points = 22.00

15. Cardiff City – Real position = 17

Real points = 19 | Expected points = 22.59

Cardiff boss Neil Warnock

14. Southampton – Real position = 16

Real points = 19 | Expected points = 25.00

13. West Ham – Real position = 9

Real points = 31 | Expected points = 26.20

West Ham United wonderkid Declan Rice.

12. Crystal Palace – Real position = 14

Real points = 22 | Expected points = 28.36

11. Everton – Real position = 10

Real points = 30 | Expected points = 28.96

Michael Keane put in a superb performance to help Everton secure a win against Bournemouth

10. Bournemouth – Real position = 12

Real points = 27 | Expected points = 29.28

9. Leicester City – Real position = 8

Real points = 31 | Expected points = 31.14

8. Watford – Real position = 7

Real points = 32 | Expected points = 32.13

Abdoulaye Doucoure is one of Watford’s best players

7. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 11 – Yet to play in gameweek 22

Real points = 29 | Expected points = 33.55

6. Arsenal – Real position = 5 

Real points = 41 | Expected points = 33.70

5. Manchester United – Real position = 6

Real points = 41 | Expected points = 34.25

Marcus Rashford celebrates his goal against Tottenham

4. Tottenham Hotspur – Real position = 3

Real points = 48 | Expected points = 38.23

3. Chelsea – Real position = 4

Real points = 47 | Expected points = 45.20

Pedro lobbed home Chelsea’s first goal against Newcastle

2. Manchester City – Real position = 2 – Yet to play in gameweek 22

Real points = 50 | Expected points = 47.78

1. Liverpool – Real position = 1

Real points = 57 | Expected points = 49.79

Liverpool star Fabinho excelled at centre-back against Brighton

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